Fund Manager Who Skipped India’s ‘Hidden Gems’ Nets 30% Gain
(Bloomberg) -- An Indian money manager has been able to double the gain in the country’s benchmark stock index by concentrating on the most obvious choices.
Marcellus Investment Managers delivered a 29.8% return from its December 2018 start through the end of 2019, according to Indian portfolio management information provider PMS Bazaar, beating the S&P BSE Sensex index’s 14% gain over the same period. The Mumbai-based firm, which held 8.7 billion rupees ($122 million) in assets as of Dec. 31, focuses on companies that have a competitive advantage.
“Many people think you can only make money by picking up stocks no one else knows about,” Rakshit Ranjan, co-founder and portfolio manager at Marcellus, said in an interview last month. “Our philosophy defies that logic because we are investing in companies that people have been buying for the last 20 years, that are part of every mutual fund and portfolio. These are not hidden gems.”
The firm’s success has coincided with a shift in investor preference to larger stocks perceived as safer bets amid India’s credit squeeze and slowing economic growth. A gauge of midcap stocks lost a total of 16% in the past two calendar years after a 166% surge over 2014-2017 period.
Marcellus’s strategy is to identify strongly competitive companies with “clean accounting” that have a long track record of generating returns above their cost of capital, and reinvesting the surplus in the business. The firm contends that India is a unique market in which some companies can dominate their industries for decades, helping create a “fountain of free cash flow”.
Manishi Raychaudhuri, head of Asia Pacific equity research at BNP Paribas, supports that idea. India’s top 100 stocks feature “a disproportionate number” of companies that are able to “generate excess returns without needing to inorganically expand their balance sheet,” he said at a January briefing in Mumbai.
In a recent presentation, Marcellus named Asian Paints Ltd., Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. and and HDFC Bank Ltd. as examples of such dominant players.
Ranjan said ITC Ltd. is the only stock in the firm’s portfolio that has delivered a negative return. The tobacco firm’s shares are down more than 20% since Marcellus started, with the loss notably accelerating this week after the government raised cigarette taxes on Saturday.
The just-unveiled budget is seen providing little support for smaller companies. That may be a boost for the low-risk, sector-dominating companies that Marcellus focuses on.
“There is a high possibility that our portfolio companies are among the few firms which deliver healthy fundamentals for the next few years,” Ranjan said.
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