Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day
Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day
(Bloomberg) --
Good morning. There was a surprise central bank decision overnight, investors are awaiting concrete trade war updates, the Brexit blame game is in full swing and a black sheep is doing better than expected. Here’s what’s moving markets.
Kiwi Surprise
There’s nothing like a central bank shock to jolt markets, and New Zealand obliged. A half-percentage-point interest-rate cut overnight sent the Kiwi dollar plunging the most in more than three years, and the Aussie fell in sympathy. Just three economists surveyed by Bloomberg had forecast a 50-basis-point cut, with the other 18 predicting 25 basis points. The central bank also signaled further easing could be possible, highlighting the worsening global growth outlook and the U.S.-China trade conflict.
Whirlwind
Trump’s top economic adviser, Larry Kudlow, said he still expects Chinese negotiators to come to Washington in September, but in the meantime, U.S. crude oil imports could become the latest target of the saga, according to traders and analysts. The yuan dipped overnight after China’s move to stabilize its currency spurred a stock market recovery. With little clarity on where this is all going, here’s a recap of Donald Trump and Xi Jinping’s whirlwind relationship.
Desperate Britain
Fingers are being pointed in Brexit Land, with Michael Gove, now minister in charge of planning for a no-deal departure, blaming the European Union for failing to engage on a new agreement, deepening the political standoff less than three months before the U.K. is due to leave the bloc. Meanwhile, Downing Street might not want to bank on a trading deal with the U.S. either, according to former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers. “Britain has no leverage. Britain is desperate,’’ he said.
Black Sheep
Amid all the recent gloom in markets, the black sheep of global stocks is having a its moment in the sun. Well, kind of. European equities – the world’s most popular short trade -- have been outperforming U.S. peers during the latest market turmoil. Why? Investor positioning was already so bearish prior to the latest sell-off that it saved the region from an even sharper decline. Futures in the region are pointing marginally lower this morning.
Coming Up...
It’s another mammoth earnings day in Europe, with mining and commodities giant Glencore Plc, German automaker Porsche Automobil Holding SE and the bookmaker formerly known as Paddy Power, Flutter Entertainment Plc, among those due to update. In terms of data, we’ll get German industrial production, after factory orders rebounded in June, according to data on Tuesday.
What We’ve Been Reading
This is what’s caught our eye over the past 24 hours.
- You need to think about your email server.
- Robots are solving banks’ very expensive research problem.
- Wall Street bonuses take a hit.
- “Surround yourself with people who are only going to lift you higher.”
- Ray-Ban maker plots next move.
- Toni Morrison, first black woman to win a Nobel Prize in literature, dies at 88.
- Lady Gaga has a Chinese bandmate.
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Phil Serafino at pserafino@bloomberg.net
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