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Consensus Forecast Underplays Euro-Area Inflation Outlook

Consensus Forecast Underplays Euro-Area Inflation Outlook: Chart

Consensus Forecast Underplays Euro-Area Inflation Outlook

(Bloomberg) -- Euro-area inflation already touched 2 percent in June and Bloomberg Economics expects the headline measure to exceed the consensus forecast over the summer, with higher oil prices pushing the rate higher in the coming months. For the European Central Bank, accelerating prices could speed the adjustment of wage growth back toward target, to the extent that expectations matter. The risk is that interest rates may need to rise a little faster than financial markets anticipate.

--With assistance from David Powell (Economist).

To contact the reporter on this story: Jamie Murray (Economist) in London at jmurray126@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Zoe Schneeweiss at zschneeweiss@bloomberg.net

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