Techno-Leap or Pitfall? A $31 Trillion Economic Question

After rapid acceleration in the 1950s and 1960s, technological change will determine the path of growth in the coming decades.

After rapid acceleration in the 1950s and 1960s, productivity has slowed and while Covid-19 is reshaping economies now, technological change will determine the path of growth in the coming decades. In Bloomberg Economics’ baseline case, global productivity is forecast to grow by about 0.8% a year between 2020 and 2030 -- a slight acceleration compared with the last decade. BE has also mapped the optimistic and pessimistic sides of the productivity debate in a pair of stylized scenarios -- by 2050, the difference between the upside and downside cases adds up to nearly $31 trillion.

©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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