RBI's Monetary Policy Preview - MPC Likely To Pause Ahead Of Expected Third Wave: ICICI Securities

RBI's Monetary Policy Preview - MPC Likely To Pause Ahead Of Expected Third Wave: ICICI Securities

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) logo is displayed on a wall inside the central bank’s regional headquarters in New Delhi, India,  (Photographer: T. Narayan/Bloomberg). 

BQ Blue’s special research section collates quality and in-depth equity and economy research reports from across India’s top brokerages, asset managers and research agencies. These reports offer BloombergQuint’s subscribers an opportunity to expand their understanding of companies, sectors and the economy.

ICICI Securities Report

At the upcoming monetary policy review scheduled for August 04-06, we expect the monetary policy committee to keep repo rate unchanged at 4%.

The committee continues to face a tightrope walk between controlling inflation and supporting growth.

Similar to the past few policy reviews, we expect the MPC to continue prioritising supporting growth over checking inflation. This is because-

  1. while some high-frequency indicators are showing good momentum, recovery is still assessed to be nascent and fragile and

  2. a third wave of Covid-19 is likely to hit the country beginning September 2021 and peaking in October 2021.

Hence, given the fragile nature of recovery and uncertain outlook, we expect the MPC to maintain status quo on rates.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

ICICI Securities RBI Monetary Policy Preview Aug21.pdf
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