Motilal Oswal: Shoppers Stop Q1 Review - Sharp Cost Reduction, But Prolonged Recovery Risk Prevails

Motilal Oswal has cut by 37% its FY21 ebitda estimate for Shoppers Stop, despite its outstanding cost rationalisation.

The Shoppers Stop Ltd. logo is displayed outside a store in the Malad area of Mumbai, India. (Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg)

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Motilal Oswal Report

Shoppers Stop Ltd.’s Q1 FY21 revenues tanked 93.5% YoY (40% miss) due to store closures.

However, better-than-expected cost control measures with 45% reduction in operating expense restricted Ebitda loss to Rs 1 billion (versus estimate Rs 1.1 billion and Rs 1.4 billion profit in Q1 FY20).

Despite outstanding cost rationalization, we have cut FY21 Ebitda by 37%, due to 10% revenue cut given the prolonged recovery expectation and lower gross margin.

We have cut FY22E Ebitda marginally by 4%, led by revenue cut.

Shoppers Stop has 72 departmental stores operational as on August 2020 with 70% lower footfall due to Covid-19 pandemic.

Demand should remain muted in Q2 FY21 while the festive season should lend support in Q3 FY21. Revenues are expected to remain flat or marginally increase YoY in Q4 FY21.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

Motilal Oswal Shoppers Stop Q1FY21 Result Update.pdf
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