Motilal Oswal: LME Recovery And Lower Costs To Improve Nalco’s Profitability Post Q1

Nalco posted a higher-than-expected ebitda of Rs 1.29 billion in the June quarter, due to cost cuts in the aluminium business.

Molten aluminium is poured into a furnace in the cast house unit of the Vedanta Ltd. Aluminium Smelter in Odisha, India. (Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg)

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Motilal Oswal Report

National Aluminium Company Ltd. surprised with higher-than-expected Ebitda at Rs 1.29 billion (our estimate Rs 81 million), led by cost reduction in the aluminum business.

However, it was down 33% YoY due to lower prices and volumes.

Revenue declined 34% YoY (29% QoQ) to Rs 13.8 billion on a lower London Metal Exchange (LME) aluminum price of 1,493/tonne U.S. dollar (down 17% YoY; down 12% QoQ) and lower aluminum volumes.

Ebitda at Rs 1.3 billion (down 38% QoQ) came in above our estimate of Rs 81 million despite lower-than-expected volumes.

We believe this was due to a reduction in fixed cost and other discretionary costs as other expenses declined 49% YoY to Rs 2.1 billion.

Reported Ebitda still declined 40% YoY on lower alumina and aluminum prices. The company reported profit after tax of Rs 166 million (our estimate loss of Rs 472 million).

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Motilal Oswal Nalco Q1FY21 Result Update.pdf
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