India Economy Watch - December CPI & November IIP Below Expectations: Motilal Oswal

India Economy Watch - December CPI & November IIP Below Expectations: Motilal Oswal

Vegetable vendors at a market  in Mumbai. (Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg)

BQ Blue’s special research section collates quality and in-depth equity and economy research reports from across India’s top brokerages, asset managers and research agencies. These reports offer BloombergQuint’s subscribers an opportunity to expand their understanding of companies, sectors and the economy.

Motilal Oswal Report

Consumer price index-based retail inflation came in at 5.6% YoY in December 2021 as against 4.9% YoY in November 2021. The number is slightly lower than our expectation of 5.7% YoY and Bloomberg consensus of 5.8% YoY.

With this, CPI inflation in Q3 FY22 stood at 5% YoY as compared to 5.1% in Q2 FY22 and 6.4% YoY in Q3 FY21.

Vegetables registered a six month low deflation of 3% YoY in Dec-21 as against an average deflation of 15% during July-21 to Nov-21. Excluding vegetables, CPI inflation stood at an eight-month low of 6.3% YoY in Dec-21 as compared to 6.7% YoY in Nov-21.

Separately, Index of industrial production growth in Nov-21 stood at 1.4% YoY as against 4% YoY in Oct-21 and down 1.6% YoY in Nov-20. The number was half of the consensus estimate of 2.8% and was way lower than our forecast of 4.9% YoY.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

Motilal Oswal CPI-IIP Update.pdf
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