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Dolat Capital Report
The macroeconomic data for October-November 2021 is impacted by global supply disruptions and waning of low base effect of Covid-19 led lockdowns.
Consumption indicators alludes to some recovery in demand, particularly rural demand, though overall demand metrics still remain below pre pandemic levels.
Credit growth has seen a gradual pick up, led by improved demand for loans from industry.
Expect for cement, key industrial sectors witnessed muted production growth for Oct 21- index of industrial production (up 3% YoY), durables (down 6%), steel (up 1%), cement (up 14.6%).
Supply-side bottlenecks, especially related to coal and chips in the automobile sector, along with subdued investment and consumption weighed on the IIP despite festive demand.
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