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ICICI Securities Report
The much-awaited gross domestic product growth numbers released today painted a grim picture—real GDP growth contracted 23.9% YoY in Q1 FY21, sharply down from 3.1% in the preceding quarter and 5.2% in the corresponding quarter last year.
The growth contraction was larger than expected: consensus growth expectation for the quarter was -20% while our estimate was down 16%.
The surprising 10.3% YoY contraction in public admin against an expected 11% increase was amongst the main reasons for sharply lower than expected growth print.
Since the beginning of lockdown, it was expected that construction sector will be amongst the worst-hit.
This is because, construction activity is highly labour-intensive and discretionary. The sector also depends heavily on migrant workers, most of whom went back to their villages during the lockdown.
Today’s data release confirms the fears: construction sector contracted 50.3% in Q1 FY21, recording the sharpest contraction among all sectors.
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