ICICI Securities: Q1 GDP To Reflect Earnings Beat; Midcap Performance Reasonable

ICICI Securities Report

Examining the earnings performance of Nifty 50, Nifty Next 50 and Nifty Midcap 100 index, it is clear that the economic activities of agrochemicals, telecom, food, FMCG, pharma, financials, IT and utilities have provided positive contribution to the operating profit pool of the above three indices.

On the flip side, discretionary consumption, industrials and commodities have maximum contribution to the operating loss pool.

As per consensus, India’s Q1 FY21 gross domestic product is expected to contract approximately 20% and may be the worst quarter of growth during the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic.

However, going by the higher number of earnings ‘beat to miss’ ratio of approximately 1.4 times by India Inc, during Q1 FY21 so far, the actual GDP could also beat consensus expectations (our estimate: 15.7%).

Overall for Nifty 50, Next 50 and Midcap 100 index operating profit contracted on a YoY basis by down 7%, down10% and down 12% while net income contracted by down 35% down 31% and down 141% (Vodafone Idea Ltd. impact).

Financials lifted operating income and excluding Financials, operating profit contracted by down 20%, down 22% and down 28% and net income contracted by down 50%, down 40% and down 297% for the above three indices respectively.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

DISCLAIMER

This report is authored by an external party. BloombergQuint does not vouch for the accuracy of its contents nor is responsible for them in any way. The contents of this section do not constitute investment advice. For that you must always consult an expert based on your individual needs. The views expressed in the report are that of the brokerage and do not represent the views of BloombergQuint.

Users have no license to copy, modify, or distribute the content without permission of the Original Owner.