ICICI Securities: HDFC - More Than Adequate Buffers To Navigate The Cycle

Similar to actions in Q4 FY20, HDFC might proactively prefer recognising non-Covid-19 stress upfront rather than restructuring.

Information leaflets are displayed at a Housing Development Finance Corp. (HDFC) bank branch in Mumbai, India. (Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg)

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ICICI Securities Report

Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd. has strengthened its balance sheet further with recent capital raise (shoring up Tier-1 to 19.5%) over and above provisioning buffer of 2.64% of asset under management and excess liquidity (at more 5% of balance sheet).

While movement from moratorium 1.0 to moratarium 2.0 has not been overwhelming (higher print at 16.6% for retail and 39% for non-retail) due to request-based disclosure approach (not collection efficiency), flow into restructuring will still be restricted.

Similar to actions in Q4 FY20, HDFC might proactively prefer recognising non-Covid-19 stress upfront (rather than restructuring).

Disbursement trends month on month (more than 80% in July) suggest normalisation in a couple of months and start of growth phase post Q3 FY21.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

ICICI Securities HDFC Update.pdf
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