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ICICI Securities Report
Q2 FY21 earnings for banking financial services and insurance sector will be reflection of a path half way through normalisation on some parameters (origination, collections), but just the beginning of journey for stress recognition and downward net interest margin trajectory.
Key to watch out -
1. Narrative on quantum and texture of restructuring (actual + potential) post moratorium; financiers suggesting low single digit;
2. slippages from special mention account-1/2 pool as of March 01and prudent recognition of stress;
3. provisioning build-up (both on restructured and contingency, if any);
4. retracement of fee income and support from treasury profits; and
5. extent of cost flexibility retained.
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