ICICI Direct:Metals And Mining Earnings Preview - Higher Realisations To Aid QoQ Improvement In Ebitda/Tonne

Sequentially higher steel prices and an improving product mix can improve realisations by Rs 3,500/tonne in Q2 FY21.

A worker works while sparks fly as molten steel is poured from a ladle at an arc furnace in the steel melting shop of the Jindal Steel & Power Ltd. plant in Raigarh, Chhattisgargh. (Photographer: Udit Kulshrestha/Bloomberg)

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ICICI Direct Report

With the opening up of the economy, domestic steel demand improved notably in Q2 FY21 compared to Q1 FY21.

The improvement in demand aided capacity utilisation of domestic steel players. JSW Steel Ltd. (Indian operations) reported capacity utilisation of 86% in Q2 FY21, notably higher than 66% in Q1 FY21.

Tata Steel Ltd. (Indian operations) reported capacity utilisation of approximately 93% in Q2 FY21, notably higher than approximately 61% in Q1 FY21.

Furthermore, aided by improvement in global steel prices, domestic steel prices increased 5% QoQ to Rs 38,900/tonne.

Sequential higher steel prices coupled with improvement in product mix (lower share of exports), we expect realisations of domestic steel companies to increase by approximately Rs 3,500/tonne in Q2 FY21 compared to Q1 FY21.

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ICICI Direct Metals Q2FY21 Results Preview.pdf
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