Ecowrap - Q2 FY22 GDP Pegged At 8.1%: SBI Research

Ecowrap - Q2 FY22 GDP Pegged At 8.1%: SBI Research

A customer carries vegetables on a motorcycle in a vegetable market in Bengaluru. (Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg)

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SBI Research Report

Based on SBI Nowcasting model, the forecasted GDP growth for Q2 FY22 would be around 8.1% (with upward bias).

The model uses the dynamic factor model to estimate the common or representative or latent factor of all the 41 high frequency indicators from Q4 of FY13 to Q2 of FY22.

Q2 GVA is estimated at 7.1%.

We now believe that FY22 GDP growth rate could be in the range of 9.3% - 9.6%.

The reason for the upward revision is that India recorded only 11% increase in Covid cases during Q3 2021, second lowest among top 15 most affected countries, and the increase in cases has declined to 2.3% in November 2021 over September 2021.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

SBI Ecowrap – Q2 FY22.pdf
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This report is authored by an external party. BloombergQuint does not vouch for the accuracy of its contents nor is responsible for them in any way. The contents of this section do not constitute investment advice. For that you must always consult an expert based on your individual needs. The views expressed in the report are that of the author entity and do not represent the views of BloombergQuint.

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