December Auto Sales - Demand Revival In Slow Lane; CVs Holding Ground: Nirmal Bang

December Auto Sales - Demand Revival In Slow Lane; Commercial Vehicles Holding Ground: Nirmal Bang

Traffic moves along a highway during morning rush hour in Delhi, India. (Photographer: Kuni Takahashi/Bloomberg)

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Nirmal Bang Report

Based on our channel checks, we expect December 2021 sales to be affected due to supply constraints (chip shortages which are more prevalent in passenger vehicles).

However, we are expecting a gradual improvement on month-on-month basis for PVs. For commercial vehicles, we expect a sustained uptick in volume, led by an improvement in freight availability (as economic activities gather pace) and stable demand from infrastructure and construction sectors.

We see two-wheeler dispatches to be slightly muted due to a high base and relatively subdued marriage season. We note that recent concerns about rising Covid-19 cases have delayed opening up of educational institutes, offices etc, which may affect demand further.

Tractors are expected to witness decline on a YoY basis due to a high base. However, we note that rural sentiments are relatively strong, which should augur well for the industry in the coming months.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

Nirmal Bang Automobile Sales Estimate December 2021- Monthly Sales Estimate.pdf
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