Currency Outlook 2022 - Rupee Much Better Positioned To Withstand Tapering Induced Volatility: ICICI Direct

Currency Outlook 2022 - Rupee Much Better Positioned To Withstand Tapering Induced Volatility: ICICI Direct

The portrait of Mahatma Gandhi is displayed on an Indian 2000 rupee banknote in an arranged photograph in Bangkok. (Photographer: Brent Lewin/Bloomberg)

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ICICI Direct Report

The rupee outperformed most of its peers in 2021 despite of strong dollar and surge in crude oil prices. Major reasons for the rupee outperforming were a rise in risk appetite in the global markets.

Also, inflation remained under Reserve Bank of India’s comfort zone, which helped the central bank to maintain lower borrowing cost to support the economic recovery. Additionally, balance of payment remained in surplus.

In 2021, yields in most major countries recovered on monetary tightening. Major central banks moved to tightening to control stubbornly high inflation. U.S. Federal Reserve started winding up its asset purchases programme opening the doors for a rate hike. UK became the first central bank in major countries to increase interest rates.

The rupee is likely to face resistance near 78 level and strengthen back to 72 levels in coming months as India seems to be in a better position to withstand any major shock from monetary tightening.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

ICICI Direct Currency Yearly 2022.pdf
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This report is authored by an external party. BloombergQuint does not vouch for the accuracy of its contents nor is responsible for them in any way. The contents of this section do not constitute investment advice. For that you must always consult an expert based on your individual needs. The views expressed in the report are that of the author entity and do not represent the views of BloombergQuint.

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