Centrum Broking: BPCL - Marketing Margins To Drive Q1 Earnings 

Centrum Broking: BPCL - Marketing Margins To Drive Q1 Earnings

A worker rides a bicycle through the Bharat Petroleum Corp. refinery in the Mahul area of Mumbai, India. (Photographer Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg)

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Centrum Broking Report

Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd. reported Ebitda/profit after tax at Rs 39.2/Rs 20.8 billion (up 80/up 93% YoY), well above our estimate Ebitda/profit after tax Rs 17.6/Rs 4.4 billion, driven by strong marketing margins and lower other expenses of Rs 33.4 billion (down 15/down 42% YoY).

BPCL reported lowest ever gross refining margins (GRMs) at 0.4/barrel of oil U.S. dollars (down 86/down 48% YoY/QoQ), impacted by inventory loss of 1.5/bbl U.S. dollars (our estimate inventory gain of 1.4/bbl U.S. dollars) and weak product spreads, resulting in core GRMs at 1.9/bbl U.S. dollars (down 47% YoY, our estimate 1/bbl U.S. dollars).

Refining throughput at 5.1 million tonne (down 31% YoY, our estimate 5.3mt) and marketing volumes at 8.3mt (down 27% YoY, our estimate 9.3mt) came below estimates and were materially impacted due to lockdown.

However, strong marketing margins of Rs 8,112/tonne (up 59% YoY, our estimate Rs 6,118/tonne) offset the overall operational weakness.

Gross debt at Rs 405.5 billion, increased 32% YoY, however declined 15% QoQ.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

Centrum BPCL Q1FY21 Result Update.pdf
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