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Nirmal Bang Report
We cut our target price-to-earning multiple for CCL Products India Ltd. to 21 times i.e. five-year median (from 25 times) on FY26E earnings to factor in the potential uncertainties with respect to all-time high coffee prices (refer our note) and demand over next one year.
While the near-term performance should be a function of contracts entered into by CCL Products last year, future contracts’ durations could be lower, say three-six months as against one year considering the price movement in Robusta on a daily basis.
We don’t see a scenario wherein coffee demand goes down materially and continue to believe that CCL Products should further gain market share in tough times.
While we remain positive, relatively lower demand visibility and working capital debt overhang might offer a better entry point to investors in the near term, in our view.
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