Bajaj Finance Q2 Review - Strong Earnings Drivers In Place: Prabhudas Lilladher

Bajaj Finance Q2 Review - Strong Earnings Drivers In Place: Prabhudas Lilladher

Sanjiv Bajaj, managing director at Bajaj Finance Ltd.’s parent Bajaj Finserv Ltd., during an interaction with BloombergQuint on the sidelines of WEF Davos 2020. (Photo: BloombergQuint)

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Prabhudas Lilladher Report

While Bajaj Finance Ltd.'s Q2 FY22 earnings (PAT at Rs 14.8 billion vs PLe: Rs 15.4 billion) missed our estimates on account of elevated collections costs and employee hiring, yet stood healthy on several fronts.

(1) Marked improvement in auto finance NPAs (21% absolute decline QoQ; GNPA % at 16% vs 19% (Q1FY22))

(2) the write-offs at Rs 3.55 billion stood lower than Rs 9 billion (Q1 FY22) and Rs 20 billion (Q4 FY21), Rs23bn (Q3 FY21)

(3) Higher PCR at 55% vs 51% (Q1 FY22) despite improvement in headline GNPA

(4) strong core income with NII up 19% YoY.

BAF stands poised to clock robust return profile (5%+RoA/23%RoE) over FY23-24 predominantly led by

  • receding credit costs pressures (2.3%/<2% over FY22-24) with anticipated rebound in auto financing, rural B2C and mortgage over Q4 FY22 - Q1 FY23

  • operating efficiencies to flow with infra/collection/employee costs already baked into current numbers.

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