Mideast Oil Price Surge Imperiled by Weak Refiner Margins

Surge in Mideast Oil Prices Threatened by Weak Refinery Margins

(Bloomberg) -- Oil refiners in the top crude-importing region are paying a huge premium for Middle Eastern grades as new Chinese plants aid demand.

Qatar’s Al-Shaheen crude for January traded at the strongest premium since at least late-2014, while Abu Dhabi’s Murban was purchased at 50 cents a barrel over the grade’s official price. Buying interest has been increasing due to a ramp-up of operations at units owned by companies such as Hengli Petrochemical Co. and Zhejiang Petrochemical Co. Hengyi Petrochemical Co. has also been buying for its Brunei plant.

While demand has been supported by active purchases for the new refineries, the rally could be short-lived as oil-processing margins plummet across the world. Asian refiners have been considering rate cuts since a surge in freight rates boosted the cost of crude and eroded returns.

Those concerns have eased as shipping costs retreated, but increased competition for cargoes and poor profits from producing fuel are once again threatening to spoil the buying frenzy. In Asia’s oil hub of Singapore, refining margins turned negative on Wednesday for the first time in more than a decade.

This week, Phillips 66 sold Al-Shaheen crude at a premium of $4 to $4.30 a barrel to the region’s Dubai benchmark price. China National Chemical Corp. bought Murban this week, following purchases by independent refiners in the country earlier this month.

About 121 million tons of annual oil-processing capacity is set to come onstream in China through 2023, according to industry researcher SCI99.

©2019 Bloomberg L.P.

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