India’s Wholesale Prices Unexpectedly Rise to Three-Decade High

Wholesale prices rose 14.2% in November from a year earlier, data released by the Commerce Ministry showed.

India’s wholesale inflation quickened to the fastest pace in three decades on input costs fueled by high commodity prices and supply constraints.

Wholesale prices rose 14.2% in November from a year earlier, data released by the Commerce Ministry showed Tuesday. That’s faster than the median estimate of an about 12% gain in a Bloomberg survey of 19 economists, and is the highest level since December 1991 when the print came in at 14.3%.

Factory-gate inflation has stayed in double digits this financial year that began in April as companies pay more for raw materials amid a rally in global commodity prices and a supply crunch.

The spike “has come as a shock,” said Aditi Nayar, chief economist at ICRA Ltd., the Indian unit of Moody’s Investors Service. Most non-core categories displayed “an inflation rate that was much steeper than expected,” she said.

Digging Deeper

  • Prices of food articles rose 4.9%, fuel and power prices jumped 39.8%, and manufactured products posted an increase of 11.9%
  • Data released separately on Monday showed retail inflation inched closer to 5% in November, amid rising costs of food and commodities
  • A sustained rise could threaten the Reserve Bank of India’s case for keeping borrowing costs lower for longer to support the economy, given it has a mandate to keep consumer price inflation within its target band of 2%-6%. The RBI last week left key lending rates unchanged and vowed to keep the accommodative policy stance for as long as needed to support a durable economic recovery

©2021 Bloomberg L.P.

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