Bank Credit Growth Dips To 8.5% In January, RBI Data Shows

“Prolonged slowdown in bank lending may be bottoming out this fiscal,” Crisil says. 

PTI
Abdul Saleem, a deliveryman known as a Wishmaster for Flipkart Online Services Pvt’s Ekart Logistics service, top, hands over India rupee banknotes at a cash counter inside the company’s office in the Jayaprakash Narayan Nagar area of Bengaluru, India. (Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg)

Bank credit growth declined to 8.5 percent in January from 13.5 percent in the year-ago period led by a sharp slowdown in loans to the services sector, according to RBI data.

Growth in advances to the services sector decelerated to 8.9 percent from 23.9 percent in January 2019.

Bank loan growth to non-banking financial companies slowed to 32.2 percent in the reporting month from a growth of 48.3 percent a year-ago.

During the month, personal loans segment grew by 16.9 percent.

Within personal loans, credit to housing segment grew by 17.5 percent from 18.4 percent, while education loan showed a negative growth of 3.1 percent as against a negative growth of 2.3 percent in January 2019, RBI data showed.

Advances growth to agriculture and allied activities contracted to 6.5 percent from 7.6 percent rise last year.

Credit growth to industry decelerated to 2.5 percent from 5.2 percent.

Within industry, loan growth to paper and paper products, rubber plastic and their products and construction accelerated.

However, credit growth to textile, food processing, chemical and chemical products, basic metal & metal products, all engineering and infrastructure decelerated, RBI said.

According to the latest quarterly statistics on deposits and credit of banks, bank loan growth decelerated to 7.4 percent in the October-December, 2019 from 12.9 percent the year-ago quarter.

During the quarter, loans by public sector banks grew by 3.7 percent while credit from private sector banks saw a growth of 13.1 percent.

In the fortnight ended Feb. 14, 2020, bank credit grew by 6.3 percent to Rs 100.41 lakh crore, from Rs 94.403 lakh crore in the year-ago fortnight.

Deposits grew by 9.2 percent to Rs 132.35 lakh crore in the fortnight compared to Rs 121.19 lakh crore, the RBI data showed.

In February, the Reserve Bank Governor Shaktikanta Das had said that slowing credit growth is the biggest challenge the banking industry is facing.

"The most critical challenge today for banks, not just in India but also elsewhere, is slowing credit off-take. It affects the profitability of banks," Das said a media event.

Rating agency Crisil, in a recent note, said credit growth is likely to be around 6 per cent in this fiscal but is expected to accelerate to 8-9 percent in FY21.

"Prolonged slowdown in bank lending may be bottoming out this fiscal, with gross credit off-take set to rise 8-9 percent on-year in FY21, a good 200-300 basis points (bps) over the likely growth of near 6 percent this fiscal," Crisil said.

This uptick in loan growth would be driven by a gradual pick-up in economic activity, continuing demand for retail loans, and strong growth in lending by private sector banks, it said.

The country's GDP grew at 4.7 percent in the December quarter, its slowest rate in more than six years.

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