Tesla’s Stock Diverges From How Earnings Consensus Has Trended

Tesla’s Stock Diverges From How Earnings Consensus Has Trended

Tesla Inc.’s valuation has divorced from how much money Wall Street is projecting the electric-car maker to make in its first two years of annual profits.

Analysts on average are projecting adjusted profit of almost $5 a share for this year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, well below the more than $8 a share that was expected as recently as four months ago. Tesla’s stock price has more than quadrupled since mid-March.

Next year, consensus is for a little more than $12 a share, down from more than $15 a share earlier this year.

“What has changed to justify the unprecedented rise in Tesla shares? Not earnings estimates -- those have repeatedly come down,” Ryan Brinkman, an analyst at JPMorgan Chase & Co., wrote in a report Wednesday. He has a sell-equivalent rating on the shares and his price target of $295 implies more than 80% downside from Tuesday’s close.

Read more: Tesla Needs Perfect Results to Satisfy Investors After Surge

©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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