Brokerages Remain Bullish On UltraTech Cement Despite Input Cost Pressure

Brokerages retained their rating on UltraTech Cement after Q2 earnings met estimates.

The Supreme Court approved Binani Cement Ltd’s sale to UltraTech Cement Ltd.

Brokerages retained their rating on UltraTech Cement Ltd. after its second-quarter earnings met estimates.

Analysts, however, pointed out that higher input cost inflation, which will be fully reflected over the last quarter of the ongoing fiscal 2021-22 and the first quarter of the new financial year, would keep the profit flat in the near term. Price hikes could also be an important factor to watch.

  • UltraTech's revenue rose 1.6% over the preceding quarter to Rs 12,016.8 crore in three months ended September. Analysts had projected Rs 11,758.6 crore.

  • Profit, however, tumbled 23% sequentially to Rs 1,313.5 crore on higher expenses and lower other income. It, however, met estimates.

    Here's what brokerages made of UltraTech's Q2 earnings:

Nomura

  • Maintains "buy" on the stock; target price retained at Rs 8,600.

  • Q2 largely in-line, reported Ebitda boosted by higher other operating income.

  • Volumes largely in-line; core blended realisation slightly higher.

  • One-offs led to higher other and staff costs; variable cost increase was lower.

  • Higher operational expenditure, flattish blended realisation led to sharp quarter over quarter margin contraction.

Macquarie

  • Retains "outperform" rating; target price unchanged at Rs 8,542.

  • Full impact of input cost inflation to be reflected over Q4 FY22E/Q1 FY23E.

  • Demand is resilient; Ultratech will take price hikes to offset cost inflation.

  • Cost inflation to be passed; balance sheet comfortable.

CLSA

  • Maintains "outperform" rating; target price unchanged at Rs 7,399.

  • Q2 Ebitda largely in-line: company confident of passing on cost inflation.

  • Higher blended realisations offset cost increase.

  • Cost pressure to accentuate in 2H but Ultratech confident of passing it on.

  • Capacity expansion largely on track and debt rises marginally.

  • Well-placed in the current upcycle but price hikes key to out-performance.

Goldman Sachs

  • Maintains "buy" on stock; target price unchanged at Rs 8,950.

  • In-line results; energy cost to keep profits flat near-term.

  • Costs could keep profitability in-check over the near-term.

  • Profitability declined 17% quarter-on-quarter, as higher cash costs were partially offset by better realisations.

  • Bullish view driven by higher-than-industry volume growth, continued improvement in Ebitda per tonne.

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