Australia’s Housing-Sector Slump Shows Up in Another Sickly Set of Data

Australia’s Housing-Sector Slump Shows Up in Another Sickly Set of Data

(Bloomberg) -- Australia’s construction activity has slowed to the weakest in five-and-a-half years as tighter lending conditions and falling prices weigh on the nation’s housing market.

  • The Australian Industry Group Performance of Construction Index fell 1.9 points to 42.6 in December, the lowest since June 2013 as the sector shrank for a fourth straight month. A reading below 50 indicates contraction.

Key Insights

  • Apartment building was the weakest performing sector, falling for a ninth straight month and at the sharpest rate since mid-2012. Such projects were favored by investors in the five-year boom that peaked last year, but demand has fallen off amid tighter lending restrictions.
  • All four sectors of the gauge -- house building, apartments, commercial and engineering -- contracted in December, with declines in house and apartment activity the most marked in six years. That could weigh on fourth-quarter gross domestic product and jobs data, with construction accounting for about 10 percent of both indicators.
  • The Reserve Bank of Australia is closely watching construction activity, last month noting that the outstanding pipeline remained large and investment robust. Still, the rapid pace of Sydney house-price falls and worsening related indicators will likely prompt some commentary in its next interest-rate decision in February.

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  • The downturn in Sydney’s property market is set to deepen as tighter lending standards and the worst slump in s since the late 1980s cause nervous buyers to sit on the sidelines
  • Apartment approvals fell the most in a decade in November in another sign of investors pulling back
  • Why the RBA is getting worried

©2019 Bloomberg L.P.

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