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Here's Your Cheat Sheet for How Markets Will React to the Election

Here's Your Cheat Sheet for How Markets Will React to the Election

Here's Your Cheat Sheet for How Markets Will React to the Election
Pedestrians walk past the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York (Photographer: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg)

(Bloomberg) -- The events of the past ten days — which have seen stocks, currencies, and commodities fluctuate in response to changes in the U.S. presidential race — drive this message home: elections can matter for financial markets, even if in some cases the effects are only temporary.

With the U.S. election just one day away, Bloomberg compiled a cross-asset guide to how Wall Street strategists predict the markets will react in the event that Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton wins the presidency. We've also included a separate scenario on how they might move if the Democrats recaptured the Senate and the House of Representatives along with the presidency; a Trump victory likely entails that Republicans would keep control of both houses of Congress.

Here's Your Cheat Sheet for How Markets Will React to the Election
Here's Your Cheat Sheet for How Markets Will React to the Election

A caveat: this chart offers only a consensus view on each asset class as inferred after poring over research reports. Among individual strategists, there's an expansive variety of opinion.

Moreover, in some cases — chiefly, the U.S. dollar and Treasuries — the short-term market reaction to the outcome of the vote may differ materially from the medium-term projection, depending on the victor.

To contact the authors of this story: Phil Kuntz in New York at pkuntz1@bloomberg.net, Luke Kawa in New York at lkawa@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Joe Weisenthal at jweisenthal@bloomberg.net, Isobel Finkel